FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
CONTACT: Caitlin Manaois, ForAmerica
New Nat’l Poll: Voters Across Ideological Spectrum Want New Blood in GOP Leadership
“If Republicans want to win, they must make clear to voters that their choice for Speaker is someone other than current Republican Leaders”
(CLIFTON, VA, June 21, 2018) — A new national survey, by McLaughlin and Associates and commissioned by ForAmerica, shows that 2018 Mid-term Election likely voters across the board—be it self-identified conservatives, self-identified independents, and even self-identified moderates—are even more likely to vote Republican if they knew the new Speaker of the House would come from outside the current Leadership apparatus.
“The poll potentially stunts the ambitions of GOP leaders like Majority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and Majority Whip Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA), both of whom are rumored to want to replace Paul Ryan as Speaker,” said David Bozell, President of the national grassroots organization ForAmerica.
The polling shows that turnout would increase, in favor of the Republican Party, if voters were assured that these politicians would not get the job.
Respondents were asked two questions related to the U.S. House Speaker race:
First, if they would be more or less likely to vote Republican for Congress this November if they “knew the next Republican House Speaker would be picked from the current Republican House Leadership and would continue to support and advocate the same policies as the current Republican House leadership.”
Second, if they would be more or less likely to vote Republican for Congress this November if they “knew the next Republican House Speaker would not be from the current Republican House Leadership but would be someone new from outside the current leadership who would advocate the populist conservative policies of President Trump: ‘drain the swamp’; ‘build the wall’; congressional term limits; etc.”
The poll results show that if voters knew the new Speaker is someone from outside current leadership, someone who advocates for Trump’s agenda, Republican members pick up “more likely” votes in many categories:
- +4 percentage points from self-identified Republicans
- +1 percentage point from self-identified Democrats
- +9 percentage points from self-identified Independents
- +7 percentage points from self-identified Moderates (an interesting and surprising number, more on that below.)
- +5 percentage points from self-identified Conservatives
A variety of socioeconomic backgrounds also yield increased turnout for Republicans. Those voters more likely to vote GOP IF those voters knew a Leadership change was coming:
- Men (+4 percent) AND women (+5 percent)
- College graduates (+ 6 percent) AND those without a college degree (+4 percent)
- Whites (+7 percent); Hispanics (+4 percent)
- Voters Under 55 years-old (+4 percent); Voters Over 55 years-old (+6 percent)
- Single voters (+ 5 percent); AND married voters (+4 percent)
Voter desires for new Leadership knows no geographic bounds. Voters residing in the East (+10 percent), voters in the West (+6 percent), voters in the Midwest (+4 percent), and voters in the South (+2 percent) are all more likely to vote Republican if they know the next Speaker will not come from the current GOP Leadership team.
The reverse of these numbers is also true: if Mid-term voters see the new Speaker come from within current leadership, the less-likely they are to vote Republican. An already tough election cycle for Republicans becomes that much more difficult.
David Bozell continued: “It makes obvious sense that conservatives want change in GOP leadership, given the current leadership’s abysmal failures on key conservative campaign promises, but such a clamor among women, independents and most notably, moderates – even East Coast moderates – will surprise many politicos in the swamp.
“Failure theater has become the norm on Capitol Hill, and voters of all stripes know it, and voters of all stripes have had it. The list of broken promises from Congress is a mile long and growing. The manufactured ‘government shutdown’ crisis has become so routine, it is now a yawner for many. They can’t seem to cut one red penny from anywhere or anything. They can’t pass a budget. Most of them still don’t read any bills. Our military is used as political pawns. Our borders are a mess. There’s no injection of fresh creative thinking to even attempt to tackle problems.”
Conservative activist groups publicly that existing Republican leadership need not apply to the Speaker’s race, and these poll results bear out that sentiment, even among a vast spectrum of voting demographics.
“The data shows voters from diverse demographics are hungry for genuine change—an injection of new blood. If Republicans want to win, they must make clear to voters that their choice for Speaker is someone other than current Republican Leaders, someone who is fighting against DC’s Swamp culture and is consistently advocating for Trump’s agenda,” continued Bozell.
Links to the poll results and toplines:
The New York Times called ForAmerica “One of the great unexpected influences of the [2016 Presidential] election.”
ForAmerica is an award-winning, national grassroots organization whose mission is to use social media to reinvigorate the public with the principles of American exceptionalism: freedom, prosperity and virtue, be it in its educational efforts, the support of legislation or the support of public policy.
By virtually any statistical measure, the ForAmerica community is one of the largest voices on the right, led by our over 8 million members who engage on our various social media platforms. Learn more at ForAmerica.org.